Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2619 at 17:45, with a 18% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2619 Delta Flight history →	SLC 17:45	MKE 21:43	18%	6%	0.5%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Milwaukee is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	2h 25m Minneapolis	MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006	6h 09m	99%	89%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 03m Denver	DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:24UA 1836	7h 09m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 21m Atlanta	ATL 14:05 → MKE 15:04DL 2152	7h 04m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 00:04 → BOS 06:40DL 696	2h 30m Boston	BOS 09:10 → MKE 10:54DL 5614 · flown by Republic	9h 50m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206	8h 30m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 19:48 → MKE 20:54DL 2388	8h 49m	99%	85%
American Details →	SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest	2h 08m Phoenix	PHX 10:05 → MKE 15:55AA 1646	7h 42m	98%	84%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	3h 23m Houston	IAH 14:20 → MKE 17:06UA 6164 · flown by Mesa	9h 21m	99%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON