Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2100 at 09:25, with a 8% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2100 Delta Flight history →	SLC 09:25	MSY 13:47	8%	2%	0.4%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New Orleans on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	2h 56m Denver	DEN 09:50 → MSY 13:39UA 2273	7h 24m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	2h 39m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → MSY 15:57DL 3146	7h 57m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:00 → MSP 11:29DL 2916	1h 16m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → MSY 15:25DL 2695	6h 25m	97%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 54m Atlanta	ATL 17:48 → MSY 18:24DL 678	9h 14m	100%	85%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	2h 58m Denver	DEN 13:25 → MSY 17:23UA 250	7h 53m	99%	84%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	3h 51m Houston	IAH 14:48 → MSY 16:13UA 2738	8h 28m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 19:54 → MSY 20:28DL 1450	8h 23m	99%	83%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	1h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:00 → MSY 11:43AA 1650	5h 43m	98%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON