Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4114 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 09:35	OMA 12:56	5%	2%	0.4%	87%
DL 3896 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history →	SLC 13:30	OMA 16:51	5%	2%	0.5%	94%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 22m Denver	DEN 10:16 → OMA 13:04UA 1633	6h 49m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	3h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 18:25 → OMA 19:47DL 4024 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	100%	86%
United Details →	SLC 08:30 → DEN 10:27UA 5642 · flown by SkyWest	3h 23m Denver	DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327	6h 54m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	8h 38m	99%	86%
United Details →	SLC 13:00 → IAH 17:12UA 497	3h 08m Houston	IAH 20:20 → OMA 22:45UA 1216	8h 45m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	SLC 11:05 → ATL 16:49DL 885	2h 41m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	8h 49m	98%	83%
United Details →	SLC 06:45 → IAH 10:57UA 2366	58m Houston	IAH 11:55 → OMA 14:11UA 6188 · flown by Mesa	6h 26m	94%	83%
United Details →	SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest	3h 14m Denver	DEN 18:05 → OMA 20:42UA 1436	6h 37m	99%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON