Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 1188 at 10:45, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 1188 Delta Flight history →	SLC 10:45	PIT 16:30	10%	3%	0.4%	89%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 2 h ahead of Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SLC 07:00 → ATL 12:44DL 907	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353	6h 50m	98%	88%
United Details →	SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest	3h 11m Denver	DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308	8h 01m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	SLC 00:04 → BOS 06:40DL 696	1h 35m Boston	BOS 08:15 → PIT 10:19DL 5678 · flown by Republic	8h 15m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 21:14 → PIT 23:00DL 2583	7h 25m	96%	86%
Delta Details →	SLC 08:10 → ATL 13:54DL 897	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 16:57 → PIT 18:47DL 3122	8h 37m	100%	85%
American Details →	SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214	2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:49 → PIT 14:50AA 2664	7h 50m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	2h 18m Minneapolis	MSP 19:50 → PIT 22:52DL 1134	6h 52m	98%	85%
United Details →	SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest	51m San Francisco	SFO 08:10 → PIT 16:10UA 1954	8h 05m	94%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON