tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4042 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 10:45 PSP 11:41 4% 2% 0.5% 99%
DL 3852 Delta flown by SkyWest Flight history → SLC 15:40 PSP 16:33 5% 2% 0.5% 88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Palm Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Palm Springs is 1 h behind Salt Lake City). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → SLC 05:15 → DEN 06:54UA 5683 · flown by SkyWest 1h 06m Denver DEN 08:00 → PSP 09:18UA 614 5h 03m 98% 89%
UnitedDetails → SLC 06:05 → SFO 07:19UA 4763 · flown by SkyWest 1h 10m San Francisco SFO 08:29 → PSP 10:09UA 717 5h 04m 97% 89%
AmericanDetails → SLC 05:00 → DFW 08:46AA 1214 1h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:41 → PSP 11:50AA 2548 7h 50m 99% 85%
UnitedDetails → SLC 07:00 → DEN 08:42UA 1232 2h 31m Denver DEN 11:13 → PSP 12:31UA 687 6h 31m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → SLC 07:13 → PHX 07:57AA 6327 · flown by SkyWest 2h 41m Phoenix PHX 10:38 → PSP 11:58AA 1884 5h 45m 98% 82%
UnitedDetails → SLC 13:05 → DEN 14:51UA 4720 · flown by SkyWest 58m Denver DEN 15:49 → PSP 17:06UA 5469 · flown by SkyWest 5h 01m 95% 78%
AlaskaDetails → SLC 06:58 → SEA 08:09AS 3344 · flown by SkyWest 1h 56m Seattle SEA 10:05 → PSP 12:39AS 1494 6h 41m 97% 73%
UnitedDetails → SLC 09:49 → SFO 11:13UA 5970 · flown by SkyWest 1h 27m San Francisco SFO 12:40 → PSP 14:20UA 342 5h 31m 86% 66%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON