tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 7–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AA 2264 American Flight history → SRQ 07:20 CLT 09:19 7% 3% 2.1% 92%
AA 1452 American Flight history → SRQ 13:05 CLT 15:07 15% 6% 2.1% 78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charlotte on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SRQ 06:00 → ATL 07:39DL 1499 2h 31m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CLT 11:26DL 3190 5h 26m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 07:04 → ATL 08:45DL 1445 3h 35m Atlanta ATL 12:20 → CLT 13:31DL 2157 6h 27m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 16:24 → ATL 18:06DL 3115 2h 12m Atlanta ATL 20:18 → CLT 21:28DL 3139 5h 04m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 13:21 → ATL 15:03DL 3104 3h 57m Atlanta ATL 19:00 → CLT 20:10DL 2132 6h 49m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 11:01 → ATL 12:41DL 3196 2h 19m Atlanta ATL 15:00 → CLT 16:17DL 3031 5h 16m 98% 82%
DeltaDetails → SRQ 14:30 → LGA 17:30DL 2412 2h 11m New York LGA 19:41 → CLT 21:38DL 5705 · flown by Republic 7h 08m 94% 78%
AmericanDetails → SRQ 06:22 → MIA 07:24AA 4139 · flown by Envoy 2h 27m Miami MIA 09:51 → CLT 12:03AA 1398 5h 41m 93% 77%
AmericanDetails → SRQ 12:09 → DCA 14:52AA 2584 2h 36m Washington DCA 17:28 → CLT 18:59AA 2182 6h 50m 95% 71%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON