Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:21, is the safest bet: 75% chance of reaching Denver on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 513 United	SYR 08:19	DEN 10:24	8%	2%	0.7%	no record
UA 2651 United	SYR 16:32	DEN 18:42	16%	5%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Syracuse). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	1h 31m Atlanta	ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995	7h 05m	98%	86%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	2h 45m Dulles	IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865	8h 05m	90%	84%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 54m Charlotte	CLT 13:05 → DEN 14:40AA 696	8h 40m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	2h 00m Atlanta	ATL 16:43 → DEN 17:56DL 519	7h 36m	98%	81%
United Details →	SYR 10:30 → IAD 11:55UA 4840 · flown by CommuteAir	2h 40m Dulles	IAD 14:35 → DEN 16:29UA 1126	7h 59m	93%	79%
Delta Details →	SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor	1h 38m New York	JFK 08:30 → DEN 10:58DL 532	7h 28m	93%	77%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 19:25 → DEN 20:43DL 746	6h 57m	94%	77%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091	46m Detroit	DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113	5h 26m	85%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON