Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2091 at 06:21, with a 7% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2091 Delta Flight history →	SYR 06:21	DTW 07:54	7%	3%	0.8%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 37m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240	6h 56m	99%	88%
Delta Details →	SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 18:11 → DTW 20:13DL 1478	7h 53m	99%	84%
American Details →	SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235	2h 16m Charlotte	CLT 12:27 → DTW 14:19AA 1683	6h 19m	97%	81%
United Details →	SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir	1h 07m Dulles	IAD 08:35 → DTW 10:14UA 6137 · flown by Mesa	4h 14m	90%	81%
Delta Details →	SYR 11:21 → JFK 12:39DL 5436 · flown by Endeavor	3h 51m New York	JFK 16:30 → DTW 18:57DL 2443	7h 36m	99%	78%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	1h 00m Atlanta	ATL 19:11 → DTW 21:11DL 1262	5h 25m	92%	77%
American Details →	SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533	1h 27m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:17 → DTW 15:07AA 690	7h 51m	97%	77%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → LGA 07:14DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	2h 11m New York	LGA 09:25 → DTW 11:24DL 1078	5h 24m	93%	76%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	SYR 18:06 → LGA 19:26DL 5062 · flown by Endeavor	1h 04m New York	LGA 20:30 → DTW 22:51DL 1014	4h 45m	68%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON