Thursday, October 8 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 11:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 42%, against 22% on a calm day. Safest: B6 1739 at 18:41, 38%.

Nonstops that day


B6 1739 JetBlue Flight history →	SYR 18:41	FLL 21:54	38%	14%	1.3%	77%worse than usual
G4 506 Allegiant	SYR 18:39	FLL 21:54	46%	18%	1.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	6h 23m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	SYR 06:17 → LGA 07:32DL 5355 · flown by Endeavor	3h 23m New York	LGA 10:55 → FLL 13:54DL 1181	7h 37m	98%	84%
American Details →	SYR 07:06 → CLT 09:14AA 1235	1h 36m Charlotte	CLT 10:50 → FLL 12:57AA 2585	5h 51m	97%	81%
Delta Details →	SYR 09:11 → DTW 10:43DL 5213 · flown by Endeavor	1h 47m Detroit	DTW 12:30 → FLL 15:34DL 1294	6h 23m	99%	78%
American Details →	SYR 07:16 → DFW 09:50AA 533	2h 47m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 12:37 → FLL 16:38AA 1373	9h 22m	99%	72%
Delta Details →	SYR 11:24 → JFK 12:38DL 5436 · flown by Endeavor	2h 52m New York	JFK 15:30 → FLL 18:54DL 1419	7h 30m	98%	72%
JetBlue Details →	SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515	1h 10m New York	JFK 08:22 → FLL 11:18B6 1601	5h 18m	95%	72%
Delta Details →	SYR 15:46 → ATL 18:11DL 2991	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489	6h 10m	97%	69%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON