tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 2655 at 16:14, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 2655 JetBlue Flight history → SYR 16:14 MCO 19:06 24% 11% 2.7% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:00 → ATL 08:23DL 1108 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 00m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → SYR 06:21 → DTW 07:54DL 2091 2h 41m Detroit DTW 10:35 → MCO 13:08DL 1747 6h 47m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → SYR 08:00 → CLT 10:11AA 1235 2h 25m Charlotte CLT 12:36 → MCO 14:26AA 2117 6h 26m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → SYR 06:00 → IAD 07:28UA 4860 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 17m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 08m 90% 81%
DeltaDetails → SYR 12:20 → ATL 14:43DL 1375 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 18:00 → MCO 19:48DL 2035 7h 28m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → SYR 05:30 → JFK 06:52DL 5363 · flown by Endeavor 3h 01m New York JFK 09:53 → MCO 12:51DL 2019 7h 21m 97% 78%
AmericanDetails → SYR 06:00 → PHL 07:20AA 6095 · flown by Piedmont 3h 40m Philadelphia PHL 11:00 → MCO 13:32AA 3268 7h 32m 94% 77%
JetBlueDetails → SYR 06:00 → JFK 07:12B6 1515 2h 54m New York JFK 10:06 → MCO 12:43B6 183 6h 43m 98% 76%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON