tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 886 Delta Flight history → TUS 06:00 ATL 12:38 4% 1% 0.6% 97%
DL 937 Delta Flight history → TUS 13:49 ATL 20:45 10% 3% 0.6% 87%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 3 h ahead of Tucson). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TUS 07:05 → SLC 10:07DL 3745 · flown by SkyWest 3h 28m Salt Lake City SLC 13:35 → ATL 19:22DL 906 9h 17m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → TUS 11:16 → SLC 14:13DL 3718 · flown by SkyWest 1h 18m Salt Lake City SLC 15:31 → ATL 21:25DL 875 7h 09m 96% 84%
AmericanDetails → TUS 05:01 → DFW 09:27AA 2193 2h 42m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:09 → ATL 15:39AA 1008 7h 38m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → TUS 06:20 → LAX 08:00DL 3502 · flown by SkyWest 3h 00m Los Angeles LAX 11:00 → ATL 18:37DL 528 9h 17m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → TUS 10:55 → IAH 15:29UA 4045 · flown by Mesa 2h 39m Houston IAH 18:08 → ATL 21:19UA 2240 7h 24m 97% 76%
AmericanDetails → TUS 06:54 → DFW 11:19AA 2555 1h 59m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:18 → ATL 16:48AA 2398 6h 54m 93% 73%
AmericanDetails → TUS 09:30 → DFW 13:52AA 1014 2h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:06 → ATL 19:36AA 2403 7h 06m 96% 71%
UnitedDetails → TUS 07:09 → SFO 09:34UA 4683 · flown by SkyWest 1h 17m San Francisco SFO 10:51 → ATL 18:54UA 702 8h 45m 87% 71%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON