tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5523 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record TYS 06:45 MSP 08:18 8% 6% 0.8% 92%
DL 4803 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record TYS 18:42 MSP 20:17 39% 16% 0.0% 61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → TYS 05:40 → ATL 06:40DL 3015 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960 5h 38m 98% 91%
AmericanDetails → TYS 05:00 → CLT 06:23AA 5954 · flown by Piedmont 2h 19m Charlotte CLT 08:42 → MSP 10:33AA 2972 6h 33m 95% 88%
UnitedDetails → TYS 05:45 → IAD 07:30UA 4311 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 23m Dulles IAD 08:53 → MSP 10:47UA 2604 6h 02m 94% 86%
DeltaDetails → TYS 11:57 → ATL 12:59DL 1743 3h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654 7h 21m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → TYS 08:56 → CLT 10:25AA 5947 · flown by Piedmont 2h 04m Charlotte CLT 12:29 → MSP 14:23AA 1671 6h 27m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → TYS 07:35 → ATL 08:47DL 5317 · flown by Endeavor 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 7h 15m 96% 85%
UnitedDetails → TYS 08:48 → DEN 10:12UA 1256 3h 30m Denver DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732 8h 58m 97% 85%
DeltaDetails → TYS 15:54 → ATL 16:53DL 1148 3h 06m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → MSP 21:38DL 1280 6h 44m 99% 84%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → TYS 17:25 → DTW 19:14DL 4697 · flown by Endeavor 52m Detroit DTW 20:06 → MSP 21:00DL 1303 4h 35m 61% 50%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON