Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 103 at 09:55, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 103 Southwest Flight history →	ABQ 09:55	BWI 15:40	9%	2%	0.6%	96%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 2 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest	2h 46m Denver	DEN 09:46 → BWI 15:17UA 1362	7h 47m	99%	87%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 06:30 → MDW 10:15WN 4776	1h 40m Chicago	MDW 11:55 → BWI 14:45WN 2744	6h 15m	100%	87%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 05:20 → AUS 08:05WN 4683	3h 10m Austin	AUS 11:15 → BWI 15:30WN 267	8h 10m	100%	87%
United Details →	ABQ 06:00 → SFO 07:36UA 538	1h 57m San Francisco	SFO 09:33 → BWI 17:57UA 2664	9h 57m	97%	86%
Delta Details →	ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799	6h 53m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535	2h 37m Minneapolis	MSP 14:41 → BWI 18:15DL 2565	7h 45m	98%	84%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 18:40 → DEN 20:05WN 882	3h 45m Denver	DEN 23:50 → BWI 05:15 +1WN 1501	8h 35m	100%	83%
United Details →	ABQ 07:40 → ORD 11:55UA 3406 · flown by Republic	2h 35m Chicago	ORD 14:30 → BWI 17:36UA 2124	7h 56m	99%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
Alaska Details →	ABQ 06:00 → SEA 08:10AS 1529	53m Seattle	SEA 09:03 → BWI 17:04AS 378	9h 04m	75%	60%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 13:05 → DAL 15:50WN 106	55m Dallas	DAL 16:45 → BWI 20:45WN 1284	5h 40m	72%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON