Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 4776 at 06:30, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 4776 Southwest Flight history →	ABQ 06:30	MDW 10:15	5%	1%	0.7%	100%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Chicago on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	ABQ 06:05 → LAS 06:35WN 130	1h 45m Las Vegas	LAS 08:20 → MDW 13:55WN 2271	6h 50m	99%	89%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 05:20 → AUS 08:05WN 4683	2h 20m Austin	AUS 10:25 → MDW 12:55WN 4077	6h 35m	100%	89%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 05:10 → DEN 06:30WN 114	3h 30m Denver	DEN 10:00 → MDW 13:25WN 755	7h 15m	100%	88%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 05:50 → DAL 08:35WN 2559	1h 30m Dallas	DAL 10:05 → MDW 12:20WN 1357	5h 30m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	ABQ 07:00 → ATL 12:04DL 1688	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → MDW 16:15DL 1728	8h 15m	99%	82%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 06:40 → PHX 07:00WN 146	3h 00m Phoenix	PHX 10:00 → MDW 15:15WN 4066	7h 35m	100%	80%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 05:00 → HOU 08:05WN 123	3h 15m Houston	HOU 11:20 → MDW 13:45WN 1019	7h 45m	100%	80%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 09:20 → LAS 09:55WN 4685	1h 25m Las Vegas	LAS 11:20 → MDW 16:50WN 4506	6h 30m	100%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	ABQ 10:50 → DEN 12:10WN 117	50m Denver	DEN 13:00 → MDW 16:20WN 1601	4h 30m	69%	55%
Southwest Details →	ABQ 18:15 → LAS 18:55WN 137	1h 00m Las Vegas	LAS 19:55 → MDW 01:30 +1WN 3200	6h 15m	67%	43%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON