tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AS 2269 Alaska flown by Horizon no forecast: 12-month record ABQ 11:34 PDX 13:35 7% 2% 0.3% 93%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Portland on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 05:10 → DEN 06:30WN 114 1h 15m Denver DEN 07:45 → PDX 09:25WN 300 5h 15m 98% 90%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest 1h 05m Denver DEN 08:05 → PDX 09:47UA 1247 5h 17m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest 1h 31m Salt Lake City SLC 11:15 → PDX 12:10DL 1209 5h 15m 98% 87%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 06:05 → LAS 06:35WN 130 2h 45m Las Vegas LAS 09:20 → PDX 11:40WN 4132 6h 35m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 06:00 → SFO 07:36UA 538 46m San Francisco SFO 08:22 → PDX 10:20UA 2265 5h 20m 94% 86%
DeltaDetails → ABQ 12:25 → SLC 14:11DL 4084 · flown by SkyWest 3h 14m Salt Lake City SLC 17:25 → PDX 18:18DL 1238 6h 53m 100% 85%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 07:00 → DEN 08:23UA 621 3h 04m Denver DEN 11:27 → PDX 13:09UA 644 7h 09m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → ABQ 10:45 → DEN 12:28UA 5834 · flown by SkyWest 3h 32m Denver DEN 16:00 → PDX 17:46UA 1337 8h 01m 100% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 18:40 → DEN 20:05WN 882 1h 00m Denver DEN 21:05 → PDX 22:50WN 1671 5h 10m 64% 45%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 20:50 → LAS 21:25WN 138 50m Las Vegas LAS 22:15 → PDX 00:35 +1WN 199 4h 45m 57% 36%
SouthwestDetails → ABQ 13:15 → LAS 13:50WN 170 50m Las Vegas LAS 14:40 → PDX 16:55WN 2126 4h 40m 25% 16%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON