tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 14–21% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 155 Southwest Flight history → ALB 12:55 BNA 14:15 14% 3% 0.6% 81%
G4 324 Allegiant Flight history → ALB 21:10 BNA 22:29 21% 9% 0.9% 43%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ALB 06:05 → BWI 07:25WN 4623 2h 20m Baltimore BWI 09:45 → BNA 10:35WN 487 5h 30m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 29m Atlanta ATL 10:00 → BNA 10:10DL 1155 5h 10m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:36 → DTW 11:24DL 3697 · flown by SkyWest 1h 01m Detroit DTW 12:25 → BNA 13:03DL 1557 4h 27m 100% 87%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 2h 50m Chicago ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414 7h 19m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → ALB 08:15 → ORD 10:00UA 4673 · flown by SkyWest 2h 29m Chicago ORD 12:29 → BNA 14:14UA 3634 · flown by Republic 6h 59m 96% 86%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 07:40 → MDW 08:55WN 163 2h 25m Chicago MDW 11:20 → BNA 12:45WN 2733 6h 05m 100% 86%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 1h 55m Philadelphia PHL 09:35 → BNA 10:51AA 3221 5h 30m 97% 85%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 1h 18m Charlotte CLT 09:05 → BNA 09:49AA 5083 · flown by PSA 5h 10m 95% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 49m Detroit DTW 08:30 → BNA 09:11DL 2682 4h 06m 70% 64%
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 13m Dulles IAD 17:42 → BNA 18:47UA 2264 4h 57m 74% 61%
AmericanDetails → ALB 15:33 → DCA 17:00AA 2347 46m Washington DCA 17:46 → BNA 18:58AA 1163 4h 25m 66% 47%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON