tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Denver on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 73% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
UA 2750 United Flight history → ALB 08:00 DEN 10:11 11% 2% 0.6% 84%
WN 2252 Southwest Flight history → ALB 16:30 DEN 18:35 25% 4% 0.6% 33%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Denver on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 2h 38m Dulles IAD 10:13 → DEN 12:05UA 1865 8h 05m 99% 89%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 06:05 → BWI 07:25WN 4623 2h 15m Baltimore BWI 09:40 → DEN 11:25WN 275 7h 20m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 07m Chicago ORD 10:54 → DEN 12:45UA 581 8h 35m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:36 → DTW 11:24DL 3697 · flown by SkyWest 1h 18m Detroit DTW 12:42 → DEN 13:45DL 1648 6h 09m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 09:54 → DEN 11:05DL 995 7h 05m 97% 84%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 59m Detroit DTW 08:40 → DEN 09:47DL 1113 5h 42m 94% 84%
UnitedDetails → ALB 16:23 → ORD 17:59UA 433 3h 51m Chicago ORD 21:50 → DEN 23:48UA 377 9h 25m 99% 83%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 1h 55m Philadelphia PHL 09:35 → DEN 11:56AA 3312 7h 35m 97% 82%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 12m Dulles IAD 17:41 → DEN 19:45UA 599 6h 55m 73% 59%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 19:15 → MDW 20:30WN 4355 55m Chicago MDW 21:25 → DEN 23:10WN 2770 5h 55m 74% 56%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON