tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Delta via Detroit, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 72% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 2971 American Flight history → ALB 07:05 DFW 09:55 12% 4% 0.8% 84%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Albany). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:00 → DCA 06:36AA 5101 · flown by PSA 1h 23m Washington DCA 07:59 → DFW 10:31AA 1978 6h 31m 95% 87%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 21m Atlanta ATL 09:52 → DFW 11:12DL 961 6h 12m 97% 86%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 2h 42m Chicago ORD 10:29 → DFW 13:12UA 441 8h 02m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 3h 22m Philadelphia PHL 11:02 → DFW 13:38AA 417 8h 17m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:36 → DTW 11:24DL 3697 · flown by SkyWest 1h 21m Detroit DTW 12:45 → DFW 14:32DL 1041 5h 56m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 1h 09m Charlotte CLT 08:56 → DFW 10:48AA 1276 6h 09m 95% 82%
UnitedDetails → ALB 08:15 → ORD 10:00UA 4673 · flown by SkyWest 3h 05m Chicago ORD 13:05 → DFW 15:48UA 2290 8h 33m 96% 81%
UnitedDetails → ALB 08:00 → DEN 10:11UA 2750 3h 34m Denver DEN 13:45 → DFW 16:51UA 578 9h 51m 98% 81%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON