tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 5454 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record ALB 05:45 LGA 06:50 6% 3% 5.7% 94%
DL 5238 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record ALB 12:27 LGA 13:29 24% 11% 6.2% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 2h 24m Detroit DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589 5h 45m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 6h 42m 98% 84%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 2h 16m Chicago ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669 7h 16m 99% 81%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:00 → DCA 06:36AA 5101 · flown by PSA 3h 23m Washington DCA 09:59 → LGA 11:25AA 4491 · flown by Republic 6h 25m 97% 80%
DeltaDetails → ALB 09:36 → DTW 11:24DL 3697 · flown by SkyWest 2h 38m Detroit DTW 14:02 → LGA 15:53DL 2602 6h 17m 100% 79%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 1h 33m Charlotte CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150 5h 36m 97% 79%
DeltaDetails → ALB 17:05 → DTW 18:58DL 3785 · flown by SkyWest 2h 52m Detroit DTW 21:50 → LGA 23:40DL 2603 6h 35m 98% 77%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 07:40 → MDW 08:55WN 163 55m Chicago MDW 09:50 → LGA 12:55WN 4044 5h 15m 90% 75%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 10:00 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 03m Dulles IAD 12:40 → LGA 14:10UA 3698 · flown by Republic 4h 10m 75% 59%
UnitedDetails → ALB 19:30 → IAD 21:14UA 4235 · flown by CommuteAir 51m Dulles IAD 22:05 → LGA 23:30UA 3682 · flown by Republic 4h 00m 66% 47%
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 46m Dulles IAD 17:15 → LGA 18:42UA 4077 · flown by Mesa 3h 52m 43% 28%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON