tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–9% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 2920 JetBlue Flight history → ALB 06:00 MCO 08:59 8% 3% 3.6% 85%
WN 162 Southwest Flight history → ALB 09:55 MCO 12:45 9% 2% 15.5% 81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:00 → DCA 06:36AA 5101 · flown by PSA 1h 09m Washington DCA 07:45 → MCO 10:14AA 3273 5h 14m 94% 75%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 06:05 → BWI 07:25WN 4623 2h 05m Baltimore BWI 09:30 → MCO 11:50WN 3658 5h 45m 99% 73%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 1h 04m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MCO 11:23DL 1455 5h 18m 99% 72%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 00m 98% 71%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 2h 22m Charlotte CLT 10:09 → MCO 11:57AA 2074 6h 18m 97% 71%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 1h 25m Chicago ORD 09:12 → MCO 13:13UA 1643 7h 03m 97% 71%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 07:40 → MDW 08:55WN 163 2h 05m Chicago MDW 11:00 → MCO 14:35WN 2818 6h 55m 100% 68%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:00 → IAD 07:35UA 4970 · flown by CommuteAir 1h 10m Dulles IAD 08:45 → MCO 11:08UA 379 5h 08m 90% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 10:00 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 58m Dulles IAD 12:35 → MCO 14:58UA 2206 4h 58m 73% 50%
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 53m Dulles IAD 17:22 → MCO 19:45UA 2463 4h 55m 54% 34%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON