Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Alaska via Seattle, leaving 00:29, is the safest bet: 81% chance of reaching Dallas-Fort Worth on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 407 American Flight history →	ANC 07:00	DFW 16:42	15%	5%	0.8%	89%
AA 1355 American Flight history →	ANC 20:17	DFW 05:47	26%	6%	0.8%	63%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas-Fort Worth on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 3 h ahead of Anchorage). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ANC 00:35 → SLC 07:11DL 2223	2h 39m Salt Lake City	SLC 09:50 → DFW 13:30DL 2800	9h 55m	100%	86%
Alaska Details →	ANC 00:29 → SEA 05:00AS 221	1h 02m Seattle	SEA 06:02 → DFW 11:59AS 414	8h 30m	91%	81%
United Details →	ANC 12:12 → DEN 19:29UA 1153	1h 24m Denver	DEN 20:53 → DFW 23:59UA 2239	8h 47m	97%	80%
Alaska Details →	ANC 00:57 → SEA 05:28AS 1498	2h 17m Seattle	SEA 07:45 → DFW 13:49AS 340	9h 52m	100%	78%
Delta Details →	ANC 01:30 → SEA 06:02DL 925	3h 13m Seattle	SEA 09:15 → DFW 15:13DL 803	10h 43m	99%	77%
Alaska Details →	ANC 05:00 → PDX 09:45AS 2398 · flown by Horizon	1h 00m Portland	PDX 10:45 → DFW 16:42AS 392	8h 42m	86%	69%
Alaska Details →	ANC 11:30 → SEA 16:04AS 332	1h 52m Seattle	SEA 17:56 → DFW 23:59AS 424	9h 29m	100%	69%
Alaska Details →	ANC 06:00 → SEA 10:35AS 82	1h 38m Seattle	SEA 12:13 → DFW 18:21AS 549	9h 21m	98%	68%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON