Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: Alaska via Portland, leaving 11:54, is the safest bet: 80% chance of reaching Salt Lake City on time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2223 Delta Flight history →	ANC 00:35	SLC 07:11	10%	3%	0.7%	80%
AS 40 Alaska Flight history →	ANC 22:17	SLC 04:58	19%	4%	0.9%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h ahead of Anchorage). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Alaska Details →	ANC 01:22 → PDX 06:00AS 609	1h 52m Portland	PDX 07:52 → SLC 10:45AS 2333 · flown by Horizon	7h 23m	99%	89%
Alaska Details →	ANC 09:10 → PDX 13:48AS 1567	3h 52m Portland	PDX 17:40 → SLC 20:41AS 3291 · flown by SkyWest	9h 31m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	ANC 06:00 → MSP 14:18DL 447	3h 55m Minneapolis	MSP 18:13 → SLC 20:07DL 2607	12h 07m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	ANC 01:30 → SEA 06:02DL 925	3h 28m Seattle	SEA 09:30 → SLC 12:36DL 1016	9h 06m	99%	83%
Alaska Details →	ANC 00:57 → SEA 05:28AS 1498	1h 50m Seattle	SEA 07:18 → SLC 10:27AS 292	7h 30m	100%	80%
United Details →	ANC 12:12 → DEN 19:29UA 1153	1h 36m Denver	DEN 21:05 → SLC 22:44UA 5646 · flown by SkyWest	8h 32m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	ANC 06:00 → SEA 10:40DL 853	2h 50m Seattle	SEA 13:30 → SLC 16:45DL 1120	8h 45m	97%	78%
Alaska Details →	ANC 05:00 → PDX 09:45AS 2398 · flown by Horizon	1h 10m Portland	PDX 10:55 → SLC 13:59AS 3112 · flown by SkyWest	6h 59m	88%	76%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON