tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: American via LaGuardia, leaving 06:05, is the safest bet: 87% chance of reaching Bangor on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → ATL 06:05 → LGA 08:30AA 4595 · flown by Republic 1h 33m New York LGA 10:03 → BGR 11:44AA 4343 · flown by Republic 5h 39m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → ATL 06:24 → CLT 07:55AA 5176 · flown by PSA 3h 05m Charlotte CLT 11:00 → BGR 13:28AA 1463 7h 04m 98% 87%
UnitedDetails → ATL 06:07 → EWR 08:25UA 299 1h 05m Newark EWR 09:30 → BGR 11:04UA 3423 · flown by Republic 4h 57m 97% 86%
AmericanDetails → ATL 09:24 → LGA 11:49AA 4628 · flown by Republic 2h 59m New York LGA 14:48 → BGR 16:33AA 4348 · flown by Republic 7h 09m 100% 83%
DeltaDetails → ATL 07:42 → JFK 10:00DL 2420 3h 49m New York JFK 13:49 → BGR 15:42DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor 8h 00m 99% 79%
DeltaDetails → ATL 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 404 1h 35m New York LGA 09:45 → BGR 11:23DL 5254 · flown by Endeavor 5h 22m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → ATL 14:15 → PHL 16:30AA 621 3h 25m Philadelphia PHL 19:55 → BGR 21:54AA 668 7h 39m 97% 78%
UnitedDetails → ATL 12:40 → EWR 15:01UA 1226 1h 54m Newark EWR 16:55 → BGR 18:39UA 3454 · flown by Republic 5h 59m 91% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON