tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2626 at 20:56, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
DL 2626 Delta Flight history → ATL 20:56 CID 22:03 19% 5% 0.6% 77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → ATL 06:00 → DCA 07:59AA 5501 · flown by PSA 2h 40m Washington DCA 10:39 → CID 12:10AA 3462 · flown by Envoy 7h 10m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → ATL 07:30 → DEN 08:51UA 340 2h 29m Denver DEN 11:20 → CID 14:15UA 476 7h 45m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → ATL 12:13 → ORD 13:30AA 1363 3h 29m Chicago ORD 16:59 → CID 18:20AA 3458 · flown by Envoy 7h 07m 96% 80%
AmericanDetails → ATL 07:25 → ORD 08:45AA 616 1h 15m Chicago ORD 10:00 → CID 11:19AA 3455 · flown by Envoy 4h 54m 92% 80%
AmericanDetails → ATL 11:21 → DFW 12:50AA 891 2h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:28 → CID 17:33AA 3461 · flown by Envoy 7h 12m 94% 79%
AmericanDetails → ATL 16:16 → DFW 17:49AA 1356 3h 22m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:11 → CID 23:20AA 3798 · flown by Envoy 8h 04m 95% 79%
AmericanDetails → ATL 06:01 → DFW 07:33AA 2770 2h 01m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:34 → CID 11:35AA 2384 6h 34m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → ATL 11:29 → ORD 12:52UA 1239 2h 43m Chicago ORD 15:35 → CID 16:55UA 4781 · flown by SkyWest 6h 26m 100% 76%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → ATL 17:34 → DFW 19:08AA 1376 47m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:55 → CID 22:03AA 4291 · flown by Envoy 5h 29m 71% 58%
UnitedDetails → ATL 19:04 → ORD 20:30UA 1046 50m Chicago ORD 21:20 → CID 22:42UA 1923 4h 38m 69% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON