Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: United via Denver, leaving 11:10, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Spokane on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 70% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 787 Delta Flight history →	ATL 09:59	GEG 11:40	10%	3%	0.6%	85%
DL 1843 Delta Flight history →	ATL 19:45	GEG 21:32	18%	4%	0.7%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 3 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437	8h 56m	100%	88%
United Details →	ATL 07:30 → DEN 08:51UA 340	2h 24m Denver	DEN 11:15 → GEG 12:37UA 295	8h 07m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	3h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	8h 58m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → LAX 09:48DL 898	3h 12m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 20m	99%	84%
Southwest Details →	ATL 06:10 → LAS 07:15WN 209	2h 05m Las Vegas	LAS 09:20 → GEG 11:40WN 2306	8h 30m	100%	84%
United Details →	ATL 11:10 → DEN 12:28UA 1327	1h 18m Denver	DEN 13:46 → GEG 15:11UA 324	7h 01m	94%	82%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:50 → SEA 12:13DL 774	3h 27m Seattle	SEA 15:40 → GEG 16:55DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	10h 05m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	1h 16m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 57m	95%	82%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	ATL 16:45 → SEA 19:05DL 472	52m Seattle	SEA 19:57 → GEG 21:13DL 3677 · flown by SkyWest	7h 28m	74%	60%
Delta Details →	ATL 19:22 → SEA 21:48DL 834	57m Seattle	SEA 22:45 → GEG 23:55DL 2354	7h 33m	70%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON