tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 371 at 16:15, with a 33% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 371 Southwest Flight history → AUS 16:15 OKC 17:35 33% 9% 0.5% 60%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:45 → DEN 07:00WN 282 1h 10m Denver DEN 08:10 → OKC 10:50WN 3010 5h 05m 98% 90%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:50 → LAS 06:35WN 321 1h 15m Las Vegas LAS 07:50 → OKC 12:20WN 344 6h 30m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361 1h 02m Denver DEN 08:00 → OKC 10:49UA 6029 · flown by SkyWest 5h 10m 97% 88%
AmericanDetails → AUS 06:00 → DFW 07:19AA 579 3h 30m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:49 → OKC 11:56AA 3731 · flown by Envoy 5h 56m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563 3h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:30 → OKC 10:37AA 3805 · flown by Envoy 5h 36m 99% 86%
UnitedDetails → AUS 12:15 → IAH 13:20UA 1747 3h 15m Houston IAH 16:35 → OKC 18:15UA 6334 · flown by Mesa 6h 00m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344 2h 18m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020 6h 47m 97% 85%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 08:05 → DAL 09:10WN 1271 1h 35m Dallas DAL 10:45 → OKC 11:45WN 4128 3h 40m 100% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → AUS 12:04 → PHX 12:28AA 2042 48m Phoenix PHX 13:16 → OKC 17:35AA 6276 · flown by SkyWest 5h 31m 68% 53%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 20:10 → DAL 21:15WN 1255 55m Dallas DAL 22:10 → OKC 23:15WN 198 3h 05m 69% 45%
UnitedDetails → AUS 16:10 → IAH 17:25UA 4004 · flown by Mesa 47m Houston IAH 18:12 → OKC 19:53UA 5278 · flown by SkyWest 3h 43m 54% 43%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON