Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 372 at 20:10, with a 32% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 372 Southwest Flight history → AUS 20:10 ONT 21:05 32% 11% 0.6% 67%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Ontario on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Austin). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:50 → LAS 06:35WN 321 2h 30m Las Vegas LAS 09:05 → ONT 10:10WN 4179 6h 20m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 06:40 → PHX 07:00WN 374 3h 05m Phoenix PHX 10:05 → ONT 11:20WN 431 6h 40m 100% 87%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:40 → HOU 06:40WN 301 1h 05m Houston HOU 07:45 → ONT 08:55WN 4391 5h 15m 95% 85%
UnitedDetails → AUS 08:30 → DEN 09:49UA 595 1h 36m Denver DEN 11:25 → ONT 12:47UA 430 6h 17m 98% 84%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 08:15 → SJC 09:45WN 398 1h 05m San Jose SJC 10:50 → ONT 12:05WN 3151 5h 50m 95% 84%
DeltaDetails → AUS 08:15 → SLC 10:12DL 2618 1h 09m Salt Lake City SLC 11:21 → ONT 12:10DL 3172 5h 55m 94% 83%
DeltaDetails → AUS 12:20 → SLC 14:09DL 2671 1h 26m Salt Lake City SLC 15:35 → ONT 16:30DL 4443 · flown by SkyWest 6h 10m 92% 83%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 05:45 → DEN 07:00WN 282 3h 55m Denver DEN 10:55 → ONT 12:10WN 4080 8h 25m 100% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → AUS 20:30 → LAS 21:15WN 330 1h 10m Las Vegas LAS 22:25 → ONT 23:35WN 2135 5h 05m 70% 46%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 21:35 → PHX 22:00WN 378 55m Phoenix PHX 22:55 → ONT 00:10 +1WN 223 4h 35m 63% 38%
SouthwestDetails → AUS 19:40 → PHX 20:05WN 4426 55m Phoenix PHX 21:00 → ONT 22:15WN 2862 4h 35m 62% 37%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON