tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: B6 959 at 08:00 is the safest bet, 15% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 41%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
B6 959 JetBlue Flight history → BDL 08:00 FLL 11:10 15% 6% 1.0% 82%
B6 759 JetBlue Flight history → BDL 17:07 FLL 20:20 41% 23% 2.8% 39%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BDL 05:50 → BWI 07:10WN 420 2h 40m Baltimore BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785 6h 30m 100% 84%
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 23m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635 54m Dulles IAD 08:20 → FLL 11:07UA 1825 5h 07m 95% 81%
DeltaDetails → BDL 07:00 → ATL 09:26DL 2554 3h 05m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 27m 99% 80%
AmericanDetails → BDL 06:20 → PHL 07:40AA 6111 · flown by Piedmont 3h 05m Philadelphia PHL 10:45 → FLL 13:38AA 695 7h 18m 100% 80%
AmericanDetails → BDL 05:00 → DCA 06:33AA 5034 · flown by PSA 1h 47m Washington DCA 08:20 → FLL 11:01AA 1873 6h 01m 97% 79%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672 3h 05m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 9h 04m 99% 79%
AmericanDetails → BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182 2h 52m Charlotte CLT 11:00 → FLL 13:03AA 1877 7h 02m 98% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON