Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 676 at 06:45, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 676 JetBlue Flight history →	BDL 06:45	JFK 07:44	9%	3%	0.8%	92%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964	2h 49m Detroit	DTW 10:14 → JFK 11:58DL 2751	6h 28m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933	2h 38m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → JFK 13:20DL 2380	7h 20m	100%	86%
American Details →	BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182	1h 19m Charlotte	CLT 09:27 → JFK 11:29AA 374	5h 28m	95%	84%
American Details →	BDL 05:00 → MIA 08:13AA 412	1h 42m Miami	MIA 09:55 → JFK 13:04AA 1052	8h 04m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233	3h 26m Atlanta	ATL 13:55 → JFK 16:29DL 1575	8h 24m	99%	84%
American Details →	BDL 07:15 → ORD 09:05AA 2163	1h 55m Chicago	ORD 11:00 → JFK 14:39AA 4350 · flown by Republic	7h 24m	97%	83%
American Details →	BDL 09:36 → DCA 11:11AA 5060 · flown by PSA	3h 43m Washington	DCA 14:54 → JFK 16:29AA 4781 · flown by Republic	6h 53m	99%	81%
Delta Details →	BDL 11:35 → ATL 14:03DL 2951	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 16:55 → JFK 19:48DL 2378	8h 13m	100%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
JetBlue Details →	BDL 08:00 → FLL 11:10B6 959	47m Fort Lauderdale	FLL 11:57 → JFK 14:54B6 602	6h 54m	71%	53%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON