tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1241 at 07:05, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1241 JetBlue Flight history → BDL 07:05 PBI 10:07 15% 4% 1.1% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BDL 05:50 → BWI 07:10WN 420 1h 05m Baltimore BWI 08:15 → PBI 10:50WN 1041 5h 00m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → BDL 05:00 → DCA 06:33AA 5034 · flown by PSA 1h 27m Washington DCA 08:00 → PBI 10:49AA 4431 · flown by Republic 5h 49m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 2h 36m Atlanta ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190 6h 54m 100% 82%
DeltaDetails → BDL 05:30 → DTW 07:25DL 2964 1h 05m Detroit DTW 08:30 → PBI 11:30DL 2926 6h 00m 96% 80%
AmericanDetails → BDL 06:20 → PHL 07:40AA 6111 · flown by Piedmont 1h 05m Philadelphia PHL 08:45 → PBI 11:33AA 2271 5h 13m 100% 79%
DeltaDetails → BDL 17:21 → ATL 20:14DL 2739 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 22:59 → PBI 00:51 +1DL 1065 7h 30m 99% 77%
DeltaDetails → BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233 3h 29m Atlanta ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838 7h 45m 99% 75%
AmericanDetails → BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182 2h 56m Charlotte CLT 11:04 → PBI 12:58AA 2279 6h 57m 98% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON