Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: WN 159 at 11:15 is the safest bet, 14% chance of being 15+ min late; the others run 34%.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 159 Southwest Flight history →	BNA 11:15	ALB 14:25	14%	3%	0.5%	73%
G4 1950 Allegiant	BNA 17:11	ALB 20:20	34%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	BNA 06:45 → BWI 09:35WN 462	1h 20m Baltimore	BWI 10:55 → ALB 12:15WN 155	4h 30m	100%	93%
Southwest Details →	BNA 05:05 → MDW 06:40WN 573	1h 05m Chicago	MDW 07:45 → ALB 10:45WN 4723	4h 40m	97%	91%
Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 12m	98%	87%
United Details →	BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465	2h 27m Chicago	ORD 12:08 → ALB 15:17UA 1554	6h 37m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439	1h 19m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → ALB 11:47DL 5522 · flown by Endeavor	4h 41m	97%	85%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682	1h 57m Detroit	DTW 14:43 → ALB 16:25DL 3785 · flown by SkyWest	5h 19m	97%	84%
American Details →	BNA 06:28 → PHL 09:39AA 2809	3h 26m Philadelphia	PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont	7h 03m	97%	84%
American Details →	BNA 05:31 → CLT 08:00AA 1065	55m Charlotte	CLT 08:55 → ALB 10:52AA 1352	4h 21m	95%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	BNA 17:41 → ORD 19:55AA 1570	1h 04m Chicago	ORD 20:59 → ALB 00:13 +1AA 3463 · flown by Envoy	5h 32m	74%	60%
American Details →	BNA 06:00 → DCA 09:04AA 5440 · flown by PSA	57m Washington	DCA 10:01 → ALB 11:33AA 5029 · flown by PSA	4h 33m	67%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON