Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 4848 at 15:15, with a 31% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 4848 Southwest Flight history →	BNA 15:15	PBI 18:25	31%	10%	6.6%	42%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach West Palm Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (West Palm Beach is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	2h 31m Atlanta	ATL 09:52 → PBI 11:45DL 1527	5h 35m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:18 → ATL 08:30DL 3001	2h 33m Atlanta	ATL 11:03 → PBI 12:54DL 1190	5h 36m	99%	82%
American Details →	BNA 05:31 → CLT 08:00AA 1065	3h 04m Charlotte	CLT 11:04 → PBI 12:58AA 2279	6h 27m	100%	76%
American Details →	BNA 05:01 → DFW 07:12AA 2821	2h 18m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:30 → PBI 13:21AA 2276	7h 20m	99%	75%
American Details →	BNA 06:00 → LGA 09:23AA 4411 · flown by Republic	2h 17m New York	LGA 11:40 → PBI 14:48AA 4475 · flown by Republic	7h 48m	99%	74%
Delta Details →	BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 13:58 → PBI 15:50DL 838	5h 02m	98%	74%
United Details →	BNA 08:10 → EWR 11:29UA 2690	1h 38m Newark	EWR 13:07 → PBI 16:09UA 1797	6h 59m	98%	71%
United Details →	BNA 06:00 → ORD 07:58UA 451	2h 52m Chicago	ORD 10:50 → PBI 14:51UA 2342	7h 51m	98%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON