Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1324 at 09:21, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


B6 1324 JetBlue Flight history →	BOS 09:21	MVY 10:08	14%	4%	0.7%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Martha's Vineyard on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOS 06:05 → JFK 07:30DL 2611	3h 44m New York	JFK 11:14 → MVY 12:38DL 5859 · flown by Republic	6h 33m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	BOS 07:00 → LGA 08:30DL 2770	1h 15m New York	LGA 09:45 → MVY 11:01DL 5662 · flown by Republic	4h 01m	100%	91%
American Details →	BOS 06:01 → PHL 07:44AA 1146	2h 46m Philadelphia	PHL 10:30 → MVY 11:52AA 4567 · flown by Republic	5h 51m	98%	89%
American Details →	BOS 07:04 → LGA 08:30AA 4396 · flown by Republic	3h 37m New York	LGA 12:07 → MVY 13:21AA 4570 · flown by Republic	6h 17m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	BOS 09:00 → LGA 10:22DL 5732 · flown by Republic	3h 23m New York	LGA 13:45 → MVY 14:59DL 5822 · flown by Republic	5h 59m	99%	88%
American Details →	BOS 12:23 → LGA 13:49AA 4367 · flown by Republic	3h 35m New York	LGA 17:24 → MVY 18:39AA 4528 · flown by Republic	6h 16m	100%	85%
American Details →	BOS 10:51 → DCA 12:33AA 1556	2h 51m Washington	DCA 15:24 → MVY 17:00AA 4572 · flown by Republic	6h 09m	100%	84%
JetBlue Details →	BOS 08:29 → DCA 10:10B6 2355	2h 46m Washington	DCA 12:56 → MVY 14:19B6 1414	5h 50m	98%	77%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	BOS 08:03 → PHL 09:40AA 2764	50m Philadelphia	PHL 10:30 → MVY 11:52AA 4567 · flown by Republic	3h 49m	73%	66%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON