Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, AA 3341 at 18:30, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 3341 American flown by Envoy Flight history →	BOS 18:30	MYR 20:55	20%	7%	1.0%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	BOS 05:45 → BWI 07:20WN 727	1h 00m Baltimore	BWI 08:20 → MYR 09:55WN 2997	4h 10m	97%	91%
American Details →	BOS 06:05 → CLT 08:30AA 418	2h 50m Charlotte	CLT 11:20 → MYR 12:36AA 5883 · flown by Piedmont	6h 31m	98%	91%
Southwest Details →	BOS 05:25 → MDW 07:00WN 3239	1h 10m Chicago	MDW 08:10 → MYR 11:20WN 1695	5h 55m	97%	88%
American Details →	BOS 06:00 → DCA 07:44AA 2159	2h 00m Washington	DCA 09:44 → MYR 11:22AA 5300 · flown by PSA	5h 22m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019	1h 07m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145	5h 09m	96%	86%
American Details →	BOS 05:10 → ORD 07:04AA 3324	1h 56m Chicago	ORD 09:00 → MYR 12:22AA 3733 · flown by Envoy	7h 12m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242	3h 27m Atlanta	ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182	7h 30m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	BOS 13:25 → BWI 15:05WN 733	2h 00m Baltimore	BWI 17:05 → MYR 18:35WN 4367	5h 10m	100%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	BOS 17:20 → BWI 19:10WN 1898	1h 00m Baltimore	BWI 20:10 → MYR 21:45WN 4220	4h 25m	74%	58%
American Details →	BOS 17:51 → LGA 19:19AA 4632 · flown by Republic	54m New York	LGA 20:13 → MYR 22:20AA 4335 · flown by Republic	4h 29m	66%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON