Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 419 at 10:20, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 419 Southwest Flight history →	BUR 10:20	ABQ 13:10	9%	3%	0.8%	96%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUR 09:45 → SLC 12:43DL 3681 · flown by SkyWest	1h 27m Salt Lake City	SLC 14:10 → ABQ 15:54DL 3820 · flown by SkyWest	5h 09m	96%	89%
Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	5h 37m	97%	87%
Southwest Details →	BUR 08:20 → LAS 09:30WN 786	1h 15m Las Vegas	LAS 10:45 → ABQ 13:20WN 2175	4h 00m	100%	85%
Southwest Details →	BUR 07:00 → PHX 08:40WN 813	1h 35m Phoenix	PHX 10:15 → ABQ 12:30WN 106	4h 30m	96%	83%
Delta Details →	BUR 16:54 → SLC 19:50DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest	55m Salt Lake City	SLC 20:45 → ABQ 22:30DL 3729 · flown by SkyWest	4h 36m	90%	82%
United Details →	BUR 09:08 → DEN 12:35UA 1191	3h 03m Denver	DEN 15:38 → ABQ 17:16UA 4760 · flown by SkyWest	7h 08m	99%	79%
United Details →	BUR 12:48 → DEN 16:16UA 2187	3h 04m Denver	DEN 19:20 → ABQ 20:44UA 484	6h 56m	97%	75%
Southwest Details →	BUR 07:10 → DEN 10:30WN 778	50m Denver	DEN 11:20 → ABQ 12:40WN 170	4h 30m	90%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	BUR 18:55 → PHX 20:25WN 820	1h 15m Phoenix	PHX 21:40 → ABQ 23:55WN 3485	4h 00m	72%	45%
Southwest Details →	BUR 20:30 → PHX 22:00WN 839	55m Phoenix	PHX 22:55 → ABQ 01:10 +1WN 2863	3h 40m	64%	39%
Southwest Details →	BUR 17:20 → LAS 18:30WN 792	55m Las Vegas	LAS 19:25 → ABQ 21:55WN 4074	3h 35m	51%	30%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON