tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4652 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 06:00 DTW 07:55 10% 5% 0.8% 90%
DL 5117 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 15:00 DTW 16:58 21% 12% 0.0% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHA 05:35 → ATL 06:29DL 1044 1h 46m Atlanta ATL 08:15 → DTW 10:10DL 2160 4h 35m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → CHA 05:00 → CLT 06:32AA 5866 · flown by Piedmont 56m Charlotte CLT 07:28 → DTW 09:17AA 1791 4h 17m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → CHA 06:13 → ORD 07:35AA 4512 · flown by Republic 2h 55m Chicago ORD 10:30 → DTW 13:04AA 3498 · flown by Envoy 6h 51m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → CHA 09:19 → CLT 10:56AA 6050 · flown by Piedmont 2h 47m Charlotte CLT 13:43 → DTW 15:31AA 1770 6h 12m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031 5h 41m 97% 81%
UnitedDetails → CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet 3h 51m Chicago ORD 10:50 → DTW 13:27UA 5756 · flown by SkyWest 7h 27m 98% 79%
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:40 → ATL 07:38DL 5039 · flown by Endeavor 3h 22m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 16m 94% 78%
UnitedDetails → CHA 07:00 → IAH 08:23UA 5086 · flown by SkyWest 1h 22m Houston IAH 09:45 → DTW 13:42UA 4064 · flown by Mesa 6h 42m 88% 78%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → CHA 16:22 → DFW 17:44AA 2121 1h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 18:47 → DTW 22:36AA 3108 6h 14m 75% 50%
AmericanDetails → CHA 20:10 → CLT 21:44AA 6049 · flown by Piedmont 1h 07m Charlotte CLT 22:51 → DTW 00:41 +1AA 370 4h 31m 66% 49%
UnitedDetails → CHA 17:58 → EWR 20:19UA 4413 · flown by GoJet 56m Newark EWR 21:15 → DTW 23:24UA 3412 · flown by Republic 5h 26m 51% 38%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON