Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 4890 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CHA 06:04	LGA 08:15	13%	6%	3.9%	87%
DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record	CHA 16:46	LGA 18:59	24%	14%	17.1%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHA 05:35 → ATL 06:29DL 1044	1h 01m Atlanta	ATL 07:30 → LGA 09:39DL 323	4h 04m	100%	90%
American Details →	CHA 05:00 → CLT 06:32AA 5866 · flown by Piedmont	2h 48m Charlotte	CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150	6h 15m	100%	82%
Delta Details →	CHA 06:00 → DTW 07:55DL 4652 · flown by Endeavor	2h 10m Detroit	DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589	5h 50m	96%	82%
United Details →	CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet	3h 04m Chicago	ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669	7h 26m	98%	81%
American Details →	CHA 07:04 → DCA 08:59AA 4580 · flown by Republic	2h 45m Washington	DCA 11:44 → LGA 13:08AA 4645 · flown by Republic	6h 04m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460	5h 49m	97%	78%
Delta Details →	CHA 08:24 → ATL 09:28DL 5448 · flown by Endeavor	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525	6h 26m	96%	78%
Delta Details →	CHA 06:40 → ATL 07:38DL 5039 · flown by Endeavor	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	6h 02m	94%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CHA 08:24 → ATL 09:28DL 5448 · flown by Endeavor	1h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371	4h 18m	70%	59%
American Details →	CHA 18:37 → CLT 20:13AA 6052 · flown by Piedmont	1h 24m Charlotte	CLT 21:37 → LGA 23:30AA 2068	4h 53m	72%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON