Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 68 nonstops
Fri, Oct 9: WN 2801 at 05:15 is the safest bet, 4% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 18–43%.
Every nonstop on Fri, Oct 9
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort. Dimmed: airlines we don’t forecast yet, shown with their 12-month record if they usually fly that weekday.
| WN 2801 Southwest Flight history → | MDW 05:15 | LGA 08:15 | 4% | 1% | 0.9% | 93% |
| UA 563 United Flight history → | ORD 07:10 | EWR 10:30 | 5% | 2% | 0.8% | 91% |
| UA 2295 United Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | EWR 09:12 | 5% | 2% | 0.8% | 94% |
| DL 5741 Delta flown by Republic Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | JFK 09:24 | 7% | 2% | 0.9% | 89% |
| AA 327 American Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | LGA 09:17 | 8% | 2% | 1.2% | 91% |
| DL 2767 Delta Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | LGA 09:09 | 8% | 2% | 1.1% | 92% |
| UA 2617 United Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | LGA 09:11 | 8% | 2% | 0.9% | 89% |
| AA 3170 American Flight history → | ORD 06:42 | EWR 10:00 | 9% | 3% | 1.2% | 81% |
| UA 2301 United Flight history → | ORD 08:40 | EWR 12:06 | 10% | 3% | 0.9% | 78% |
| WN 2038 Southwest Flight history → | MDW 08:05 | LGA 11:20 | 11% | 2% | 0.9% | 96% |
| UA 1657 United Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:17 | 11% | 3% | 0.9% | 82% |
| B6 1206 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | JFK 09:17 | 12% | 3% | 1.4% | 81% |
| DL 2633 Delta Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:14 | 12% | 3% | 1.1% | 77% |
| UA 1856 United Flight history → | ORD 10:51 | EWR 14:17 | 12% | 5% | 0.8% | 80% |
| AA 4350 American flown by Republic Flight history → | ORD 11:00 | JFK 14:39 | 12% | 4% | 0.8% | 85% |
| AA 2723 American Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:16 | 12% | 3% | 1.0% | 79% |
| AA 4371 American flown by Republic Flight history → | ORD 12:50 | JFK 16:28 | 14% | 5% | 1.0% | 71% |
| UA 606 United Flight history → | ORD 12:11 | EWR 15:39 | 14% | 7% | 0.9% | 78% |
| WN 4044 Southwest Flight history → | MDW 09:50 | LGA 12:55 | 15% | 3% | 0.8% | 75% |
| UA 2092 United Flight history → | ORD 08:00 | LGA 11:17 | 15% | 3% | 0.9% | 86% |
| AA 2079 American Flight history → | ORD 08:00 | LGA 11:19 | 16% | 3% | 1.0% | 82% |
| DL 2252 Delta Flight history → | ORD 09:30 | LGA 12:46 | 16% | 4% | 1.0% | 90% |
| UA 669 United Flight history → | ORD 10:03 | LGA 13:26 | 17% | 6% | 0.9% | 82% |
| UA 709 United Flight history → | ORD 09:00 | LGA 12:23 | 17% | 5% | 0.9% | 75% |
| UA 759 United Flight history → | ORD 20:07 | EWR 23:39 | 18% | 8% | 1.0% | 65% |
| B6 906 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 09:42 | JFK 12:59 | 18% | 4% | 1.2% | 88% |
| DL 2917 Delta Flight history → | ORD 10:30 | LGA 13:48 | 18% | 6% | 1.1% | 72% |
| UA 1775 United Flight history → | ORD 11:00 | LGA 14:23 | 19% | 7% | 0.9% | 69% |
| DL 2985 Delta Flight history → | ORD 11:30 | LGA 15:00 | 19% | 6% | 1.1% | 78% |
| UA 1209 United Flight history → | ORD 21:30 | EWR 00:53 | 19% | 7% | 1.0% | 68% |
| AA 2250 American Flight history → | ORD 10:10 | EWR 13:30 | 21% | 7% | 1.2% | 64% |
| UA 2759 United Flight history → | ORD 13:30 | EWR 16:55 | 21% | 9% | 1.1% | 47% |
| UA 2267 United Flight history → | ORD 12:00 | LGA 15:23 | 21% | 8% | 0.9% | 69% |
| AA 388 American Flight history → | ORD 10:20 | LGA 13:34 | 21% | 7% | 0.9% | 71% |
| AA 2059 American Flight history → | ORD 11:00 | LGA 14:19 | 22% | 8% | 1.2% | 73% |
| UA 2329 United Flight history → | ORD 14:25 | EWR 18:00 | 23% | 10% | 1.0% | 75% |
| UA 534 United Flight history → | ORD 18:28 | EWR 21:58 | 24% | 10% | 0.9% | 58% |
| UA 2189 United Flight history → | ORD 13:00 | LGA 16:22 | 25% | 9% | 0.9% | 65% |
| UA 485 United Flight history → | ORD 16:31 | EWR 20:07 | 26% | 10% | 1.0% | 57% |
| UA 2171 United Flight history → | ORD 15:57 | EWR 19:33 | 28% | 10% | 1.2% | 27% |
| AA 2549 American Flight history → | ORD 20:09 | EWR 23:30 | 28% | 12% | 1.4% | 45% |
| DL 2503 Delta Flight history → | ORD 20:10 | LGA 23:44 | 28% | 11% | 1.2% | 58% |
| WN 2803 Southwest Flight history → | MDW 12:55 | LGA 16:00 | 29% | 6% | 0.9% | 52% |
| UA 1821 United Flight history → | ORD 14:00 | LGA 17:22 | 29% | 10% | 1.2% | 65% |
| UA 1617 United Flight history → | ORD 15:00 | LGA 18:22 | 29% | 9% | 1.0% | 59% |
| AA 1421 American Flight history → | ORD 16:30 | JFK 20:04 | 29% | 12% | 1.4% | 57% |
| AA 1936 American Flight history → | ORD 13:10 | EWR 16:30 | 30% | 10% | 1.5% | 65% |
| UA 2605 United Flight history → | ORD 18:25 | LGA 21:54 | 30% | 12% | 0.9% | 54% |
| DL 2239 Delta Flight history → | ORD 14:28 | LGA 17:50 | 31% | 10% | 1.2% | 63% |
| UA 1655 United Flight history → | ORD 19:45 | LGA 23:15 | 31% | 10% | 0.9% | 50% |
| B6 406 JetBlue Flight history → | ORD 17:27 | JFK 21:00 | 32% | 10% | 1.6% | 80%worse than usual |
| UA 2306 United Flight history → | ORD 17:00 | LGA 20:22 | 33% | 13% | 1.0% | 51% |
| AA 1478 American Flight history → | ORD 13:14 | LGA 16:34 | 33% | 10% | 1.1% | 63% |
| UA 1623 United Flight history → | ORD 18:00 | LGA 21:25 | 34% | 12% | 1.2% | 41% |
| UA 2809 United Flight history → | ORD 16:00 | LGA 19:22 | 34% | 12% | 1.2% | 42% |
| DL 1390 Delta Flight history → | ORD 19:05 | LGA 22:34 | 34% | 15% | 1.2% | 64% |
| DL 2336 Delta Flight history → | ORD 17:35 | LGA 21:00 | 36% | 14% | 1.3% | 51% |
| AA 3253 American Flight history → | ORD 17:36 | EWR 21:00 | 37% | 16% | 1.6% | 47% |
| AA 3050 American Flight history → | ORD 14:59 | LGA 18:19 | 37% | 11% | 1.4% | 65% |
| WN 4120 Southwest Flight history → | MDW 19:45 | LGA 23:00 | 38% | 10% | 1.0% | 27% |
| AA 679 American Flight history → | ORD 19:59 | LGA 23:21 | 38% | 12% | 1.2% | 63% |
| WN 2804 Southwest Flight history → | MDW 14:50 | LGA 17:55 | 38% | 8% | 0.9% | 59% |
| AA 2086 American Flight history → | ORD 16:30 | LGA 19:53 | 39% | 14% | 1.4% | 50% |
| AA 1724 American Flight history → | ORD 18:29 | LGA 21:50 | 43% | 15% | 1.4% | 49% |
| WN 556 Southwest Flight history → | MDW 17:15 | LGA 20:20 | 43% | 10% | 0.9% | 30% |
| DL 4725 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 10:05 | JFK 13:30 | 27% | 16% | 6.2% | 73% |
| DL 5035 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 13:00 | JFK 16:37 | 29% | 14% | 11.6% | 71% |
| DL 4783 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 18:00 | JFK 21:40 | 51% | 22% | 23.6% | 49% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON