tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, B6 1131 at 18:40, with a 37% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 1131 JetBlue Flight history → CHS 18:40 FLL 20:20 37% 18% 3.2% 71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055 1h 48m Atlanta ATL 08:05 → FLL 09:59DL 1094 4h 49m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124 3h 00m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 08m 98% 82%
SouthwestDetails → CHS 07:15 → BWI 08:50WN 1090 1h 00m Baltimore BWI 09:50 → FLL 12:20WN 4785 5h 05m 96% 80%
DeltaDetails → CHS 07:20 → ATL 08:36DL 1664 3h 55m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 7h 07m 99% 80%
UnitedDetails → CHS 06:50 → IAH 08:21UA 434 1h 39m Houston IAH 10:00 → FLL 13:47UA 2234 6h 57m 98% 80%
AmericanDetails → CHS 05:00 → CLT 06:01AA 3298 1h 14m Charlotte CLT 07:15 → FLL 09:16AA 1865 4h 16m 93% 79%
DeltaDetails → CHS 09:41 → ATL 11:00DL 5450 · flown by Endeavor 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 13:45 → FLL 15:41DL 1413 6h 00m 100% 78%
AmericanDetails → CHS 06:41 → CLT 07:47AA 3235 3h 13m Charlotte CLT 11:00 → FLL 13:03AA 1877 6h 22m 99% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON