Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, DL 2518 at 05:50, with a 9% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2518 Delta Flight history →	CID 05:50	ATL 08:52	9%	4%	0.8%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	CID 05:30 → DEN 06:54UA 4716 · flown by SkyWest	3h 06m Denver	DEN 10:00 → ATL 15:09UA 2424	8h 39m	98%	85%
United Details →	CID 06:30 → ORD 07:51UA 1499	2h 38m Chicago	ORD 10:29 → ATL 13:44UA 2684	6h 14m	96%	85%
Delta Details →	CID 06:46 → MSP 08:05DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 27m Minneapolis	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	6h 18m	94%	85%
Delta Details →	CID 12:09 → MSP 13:26DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	3h 52m Minneapolis	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036	7h 56m	97%	80%
United Details →	CID 08:50 → DEN 10:04UA 1500	3h 22m Denver	DEN 13:26 → ATL 18:30UA 1671	8h 40m	97%	78%
American Details →	CID 05:17 → DFW 07:34AA 3473 · flown by Envoy	2h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:34 → ATL 12:46AA 1358	6h 29m	97%	78%
American Details →	CID 06:17 → CLT 09:35AA 1039	3h 35m Charlotte	CLT 13:10 → ATL 14:35AA 5041 · flown by PSA	7h 18m	96%	76%
Delta Details →	CID 16:24 → MSP 17:39DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	2h 10m Minneapolis	MSP 19:49 → ATL 23:44DL 1032	6h 20m	89%	75%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CID 16:24 → MSP 17:39DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	58m Minneapolis	MSP 18:37 → ATL 22:28DL 1026	5h 04m	54%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON