Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1463 American Flight history →	CLT 11:00	BGR 13:28	10%	4%	0.7%	87%
AA 851 American Flight history →	CLT 13:00	BGR 15:28	15%	5%	0.7%	46%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	CLT 05:45 → PHL 07:27AA 2727	1h 28m Philadelphia	PHL 08:55 → BGR 10:51AA 6123 · flown by Piedmont	5h 06m	97%	87%
American Details →	CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150	3h 33m New York	LGA 14:48 → BGR 16:33AA 4348 · flown by Republic	7h 13m	100%	83%
United Details →	CLT 08:05 → ORD 09:22UA 2771	2h 36m Chicago	ORD 11:58 → BGR 15:42UA 5424 · flown by SkyWest	7h 37m	97%	81%
United Details →	CLT 11:10 → EWR 13:16UA 3448 · flown by Republic	3h 39m Newark	EWR 16:55 → BGR 18:39UA 3454 · flown by Republic	7h 29m	100%	80%
American Details →	CLT 07:05 → LGA 09:01AA 2043	1h 02m New York	LGA 10:03 → BGR 11:44AA 4343 · flown by Republic	4h 39m	89%	79%
American Details →	CLT 08:00 → DCA 09:33AA 1977	3h 54m Washington	DCA 13:27 → BGR 15:28AA 5568 · flown by PSA	7h 28m	100%	75%
Delta Details →	CLT 10:01 → JFK 11:59DL 5052 · flown by Endeavor	1h 50m New York	JFK 13:49 → BGR 15:42DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor	5h 41m	93%	73%
American Details →	CLT 14:35 → ORD 15:56AA 2080	3h 12m Chicago	ORD 19:08 → BGR 22:57AA 340	8h 22m	99%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CLT 11:50 → LGA 13:50DL 5051 · flown by Endeavor	47m New York	LGA 14:37 → BGR 16:21DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor	4h 30m	59%	38%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON