Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 148 at 10:35, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 148 Southwest Flight history →	CLT 10:35	DAL 12:05	16%	3%	0.7%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Dallas on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	1h 34m Atlanta	ATL 08:15 → DAL 09:21DL 441	4h 51m	98%	89%
Southwest Details →	CLT 06:35 → BNA 07:00WN 1167	1h 05m Nashville	BNA 08:05 → DAL 10:00WN 486	4h 25m	96%	88%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:59 → ATL 08:13DL 2275	2h 02m Atlanta	ATL 10:15 → DAL 11:24DL 1115	5h 25m	100%	86%
Southwest Details →	CLT 07:35 → MDW 08:40WN 3048	3h 40m Chicago	MDW 12:20 → DAL 14:35WN 2757	8h 00m	100%	85%
Delta Details →	CLT 09:43 → ATL 11:00DL 3174	2h 59m Atlanta	ATL 13:59 → DAL 15:03DL 512	6h 20m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	3h 12m Atlanta	ATL 16:44 → DAL 17:54DL 2780	6h 35m	100%	77%
Southwest Details →	CLT 11:35 → MDW 12:35WN 4529	3h 45m Chicago	MDW 16:20 → DAL 18:35WN 2758	8h 00m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	CLT 16:49 → ATL 18:10DL 3032	3h 05m Atlanta	ATL 21:15 → DAL 22:25DL 1104	6h 36m	96%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON