tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: United via Denver, leaving 08:40, is the safest bet: 76% chance of reaching Jackson on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 74% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
AA 1961 American Flight history → CLT 08:55 JAC 11:10 13% 3% 0.6% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Jackson on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Jackson is 2 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963 3h 28m Denver DEN 13:55 → JAC 15:25UA 1537 8h 45m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → CLT 14:57 → MSP 16:44DL 2819 2h 06m Minneapolis MSP 18:50 → JAC 20:29DL 3925 · flown by SkyWest 7h 32m 95% 82%
AmericanDetails → CLT 07:05 → LAX 09:09AA 2070 3h 28m Los Angeles LAX 12:37 → JAC 16:01AA 5011 · flown by SkyWest 10h 56m 100% 80%
DeltaDetails → CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157 2h 33m Atlanta ATL 18:10 → JAC 20:04DL 315 7h 42m 97% 77%
UnitedDetails → CLT 16:08 → DEN 17:55UA 2609 1h 30m Denver DEN 19:25 → JAC 20:58UA 1306 6h 50m 93% 74%
AmericanDetails → CLT 09:42 → ORD 11:00AA 1038 2h 05m Chicago ORD 13:05 → JAC 15:24AA 1970 7h 42m 96% 74%
AmericanDetails → CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 08:25 → JAC 10:14AA 976 6h 29m 87% 71%
AmericanDetails → CLT 07:41 → DFW 09:36AA 1707 3h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:12 → JAC 14:59AA 1883 9h 18m 99% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → CLT 11:01 → ORD 12:19AA 2908 46m Chicago ORD 13:05 → JAC 15:24AA 1970 6h 23m 74% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON