Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 4029 United flown by Mesa no forecast: 12-month record	COS 07:30	IAH 11:03	11%	1%	0.0%	89%
UA 4030 United flown by Mesa no forecast: 12-month record	COS 12:06	IAH 15:35	19%	13%	0.0%	81%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Houston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h ahead of Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	COS 05:30 → DEN 06:35UA 4697 · flown by SkyWest	1h 07m Denver	DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720	4h 45m	96%	88%
United Details →	COS 06:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5291 · flown by SkyWest	3h 02m Denver	DEN 10:07 → IAH 13:40UA 1129	6h 40m	99%	84%
United Details →	COS 07:05 → DEN 08:10UA 4696 · flown by SkyWest	3h 24m Denver	DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599	7h 04m	100%	83%
United Details →	COS 17:07 → DEN 18:20UA 4719 · flown by SkyWest	2h 50m Denver	DEN 21:10 → IAH 00:41 +1UA 1253	6h 34m	97%	83%
Delta Details →	COS 06:00 → ATL 10:54DL 1074	1h 33m Atlanta	ATL 12:27 → IAH 13:33DL 1572	6h 33m	97%	80%
United Details →	COS 08:45 → DEN 10:02UA 4725 · flown by SkyWest	3h 28m Denver	DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829	7h 19m	99%	80%
United Details →	COS 11:31 → DEN 12:45UA 4675 · flown by SkyWest	3h 35m Denver	DEN 16:20 → IAH 19:57UA 588	7h 26m	99%	79%
United Details →	COS 10:23 → DEN 11:38UA 5400 · flown by SkyWest	3h 57m Denver	DEN 15:35 → IAH 19:10UA 489	7h 47m	99%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON