Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 4700 at 11:05, with a 19% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 4700 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 11:05	CHS 14:35	19%	3%	0.8%	68%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Charleston on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Charleston is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → BWI 09:55WN 1280	1h 40m Baltimore	BWI 11:35 → CHS 13:15WN 899	6h 15m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	1h 29m Atlanta	ATL 10:46 → CHS 12:00DL 3107	4h 55m	97%	85%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519	1h 25m Nashville	BNA 10:10 → CHS 12:40WN 469	4h 40m	96%	84%
Southwest Details →	DAL 09:00 → AUS 10:00WN 4172	3h 05m Austin	AUS 13:05 → CHS 16:45WN 269	6h 45m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 56m Atlanta	ATL 23:10 → CHS 00:26 +1DL 2850	7h 27m	98%	80%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:20 → BNA 10:10WN 434	2h 55m Nashville	BNA 13:05 → CHS 15:35WN 470	6h 15m	99%	80%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 14:40 → CHS 15:53DL 1381	4h 46m	96%	80%
Southwest Details →	DAL 09:15 → STL 11:00WN 1411	3h 20m St Louis	STL 14:20 → CHS 17:20WN 1467	7h 05m	100%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	DAL 15:10 → BWI 19:10WN 1283	1h 05m Baltimore	BWI 20:15 → CHS 22:00WN 184	5h 50m	69%	50%
Southwest Details →	DAL 13:10 → DEN 14:10WN 1346	1h 10m Denver	DEN 15:20 → CHS 20:40WN 1142	6h 30m	70%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON