Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 46 at 19:20, with a 39% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 46 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 19:20	FLL 23:10	39%	11%	3.0%	40%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519	2h 30m Nashville	BNA 11:15 → FLL 14:35WN 4847	6h 35m	99%	81%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:20 → STL 09:05WN 274	50m St Louis	STL 09:55 → FLL 13:40WN 4938	5h 20m	93%	80%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:20 → BNA 10:10WN 434	2h 35m Nashville	BNA 12:45 → FLL 16:05WN 4030	6h 45m	98%	80%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	1h 08m Atlanta	ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512	5h 18m	95%	80%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	3h 00m Houston	HOU 10:10 → FLL 13:40WN 4355	6h 40m	100%	79%
Southwest Details →	DAL 10:05 → MDW 12:20WN 1357	3h 05m Chicago	MDW 15:25 → FLL 19:25WN 4899	8h 20m	100%	74%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	3h 23m Atlanta	ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295	7h 33m	99%	71%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:30 → HOU 09:45WN 7	3h 40m Houston	HOU 13:25 → FLL 16:55WN 4253	7h 25m	100%	70%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	DAL 12:00 → MCI 13:30WN 4327	55m Kansas City	MCI 14:25 → FLL 18:30WN 379	5h 30m	71%	51%
Southwest Details →	DAL 15:10 → BWI 19:10WN 1283	1h 05m Baltimore	BWI 20:15 → FLL 22:55WN 3072	6h 45m	69%	44%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON