Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 925 at 13:35, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 925 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 13:35	MKE 15:50	24%	6%	0.6%	36%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → PHX 06:30WN 1379	1h 10m Phoenix	PHX 07:40 → MKE 13:00WN 4104	7h 00m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	1h 34m Atlanta	ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151	5h 48m	97%	88%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → MDW 08:15WN 1355	2h 05m Chicago	MDW 10:20 → MKE 11:05WN 1702	5h 05m	100%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:05 → LAS 06:50WN 1318	2h 15m Las Vegas	LAS 09:05 → MKE 14:35WN 4337	8h 30m	100%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → DEN 07:00WN 1296	3h 15m Denver	DEN 10:15 → MKE 13:40WN 1626	7h 40m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 38m Atlanta	ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268	7h 57m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	3h 21m Atlanta	ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206	7h 33m	99%	80%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → BWI 09:55WN 1280	50m Baltimore	BWI 10:45 → MKE 11:50WN 1011	5h 50m	88%	80%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	DAL 18:39 → ATL 22:00DL 2780	52m Atlanta	ATL 22:52 → MKE 23:56DL 1268	5h 17m	73%	61%
Southwest Details →	DAL 16:35 → LAS 17:25WN 1322	50m Las Vegas	LAS 18:15 → MKE 23:50WN 2279	7h 15m	53%	34%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON