tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1374 at 19:35, with a 30% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1374 Southwest Flight history → DAL 19:35 OMA 21:25 30% 8% 0.6% 27%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → DEN 07:00WN 1296 2h 55m Denver DEN 09:55 → OMA 12:30WN 748 6h 30m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → MDW 08:15WN 1355 1h 55m Chicago MDW 10:10 → OMA 11:35WN 2984 5h 35m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516 2h 09m Atlanta ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125 6h 40m 98% 87%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 08:30 → MDW 10:45WN 1356 3h 25m Chicago MDW 14:10 → OMA 15:40WN 435 7h 10m 100% 86%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 08:20 → BNA 10:10WN 434 3h 50m Nashville BNA 14:00 → OMA 15:45WN 609 7h 25m 99% 84%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:05 → LAS 06:50WN 1318 55m Las Vegas LAS 07:45 → OMA 12:25WN 2294 6h 20m 93% 83%
DeltaDetails → DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441 3h 09m Atlanta ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364 7h 41m 99% 81%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 08:40 → DEN 09:45WN 239 2h 55m Denver DEN 12:40 → OMA 15:05WN 1705 6h 25m 99% 79%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → DAL 13:10 → DEN 14:10WN 1346 1h 00m Denver DEN 15:10 → OMA 17:35WN 1658 4h 25m 68% 51%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 19:10 → LAS 20:00WN 1323 1h 05m Las Vegas LAS 21:05 → OMA 01:50 +1WN 4587 6h 40m 65% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON