Tickets
Any day
Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 1375 at 14:25, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 1375 Southwest Flight history → DAL 14:25 ONT 15:25 24% 6% 0.6% 61%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Ranked by chance you reach Ontario on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.

SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → PHX 06:30WN 1379 1h 20m Phoenix PHX 07:50 → ONT 09:05WN 759 5h 05m 100% 93%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:05 → LAS 06:50WN 1318 2h 15m Las Vegas LAS 09:05 → ONT 10:10WN 4179 6h 05m 100% 89%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → DEN 07:00WN 1296 3h 55m Denver DEN 10:55 → ONT 12:10WN 4080 8h 10m 100% 82%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 07:40 → SMF 09:15WN 4218 2h 45m Sacramento SMF 12:00 → ONT 13:25WN 300 7h 45m 98% 79%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 10:00 → BNA 11:50WN 5062 2h 05m Nashville BNA 13:55 → ONT 16:00WN 855 8h 00m 96% 77%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 08:30 → MDW 10:45WN 1356 1h 00m Chicago MDW 11:45 → ONT 13:50WN 2846 7h 20m 91% 75%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 08:45 → LAS 09:35WN 695 2h 10m Las Vegas LAS 11:45 → ONT 12:45WN 2298 6h 00m 100% 75%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 10:25 → PHX 10:55WN 1166 3h 00m Phoenix PHX 13:55 → ONT 15:05WN 670 6h 40m 100% 71%
Tight connection: often missed
SouthwestDetails → DAL 18:20 → DEN 19:50WN 1303 1h 25m Denver DEN 21:15 → ONT 22:40WN 1663 6h 20m 75% 53%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 15:10 → BWI 19:10WN 1283 1h 00m Baltimore BWI 20:10 → ONT 22:25WN 200 9h 15m 69% 44%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 20:30 → LAS 21:15WN 1128 1h 10m Las Vegas LAS 22:25 → ONT 23:35WN 2135 5h 05m 67% 44%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON