Friday, October 9 · typical odds for a Friday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Fri, Oct 9: one nonstop, WN 3033 at 13:40, with a 25% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 3033 Southwest Flight history →	DAL 13:40	PIT 17:15	25%	7%	0.6%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	5h 47m	97%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:20 → STL 09:05WN 274	1h 00m St Louis	STL 10:05 → PIT 12:40WN 3971	4h 20m	94%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 07:00 → BNA 08:45WN 1519	1h 15m Nashville	BNA 10:00 → PIT 12:30WN 1489	4h 30m	95%	87%
Southwest Details →	DAL 08:30 → MDW 10:45WN 1356	2h 50m Chicago	MDW 13:35 → PIT 16:00WN 2866	6h 30m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	3h 50m Atlanta	ATL 23:04 → PIT 00:50 +1DL 1351	7h 51m	98%	84%
Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → DEN 07:00WN 1296	3h 00m Denver	DEN 10:00 → PIT 15:10WN 4012	8h 10m	100%	84%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	2h 07m Atlanta	ATL 15:23 → PIT 17:08DL 1568	6h 01m	98%	81%
Southwest Details →	DAL 15:00 → BNA 16:50WN 5047	3h 40m Nashville	BNA 20:30 → PIT 23:10WN 646	7h 10m	100%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
Southwest Details →	DAL 17:45 → MCO 21:30WN 965	55m Orlando	MCO 22:25 → PIT 00:55 +1WN 353	6h 10m	64%	33%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Fri, Oct 9 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON